Global Commodity Supply Chain & Geopolitical Risk Intelligence

A central design principle in modern machine learning and artificial intelligence is to align a model's inductive bias with the structure of its input data. For matrix-valued inputs, relevant matrix-level relationships can be characterised through spectral values and spectral subspaces; however, common coordinate-wise rotation-gate data-encoding unitaries used in most quantum machine learning models do not explicitly construct such a matrix-level representation. We introduce Quantum Spectral Models (QSMs), in which we construct the generator of the data-encoding unitary directly from each input matrix. We study three QSM variants based on symmetric, global block, and non-overlapping patch-local block Hamiltonians. Their outputs admit truncated Fourier representations in which input-dependent spectral gaps supply candidate phase carriers, while spectral subspaces help determine their coefficients. We evaluate the QSMs and comparison quantum models on two matrix representations of Pendigits and two controlled synthetic tasks defined by spectral statistics. At the largest evaluated circuit depth, QSM variants lead the tested quantum models in mean test accuracy across all four benchmarks. The patch-local QSM leads on Pendigits, whereas the global block-Hamiltonian QSM leads on the controlled spectral tasks. Ablations show a task-dependent reversal: subspace-preserving controls perform better on Pendigits, whereas spectral-value-only controls lead among the tested ablations on the synthetic tasks. Together, these results shed new light on quantum machine-learning model design by showing how input-conditioned spectral representations can provide an analysable inductive bias, while offering a broader perspective on structure-aware model design in machine learning and artificial intelligence.

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Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) rely on interconnected software and hardware components, including sensors, Electronic Control Units, in-vehicle infotainment systems, and telematics units, where vulnerabilities can compromise assets, users, and vehicle operations. These vulnerabilities are commonly documented as plain text in the Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures (CVE) database; however, security practitioners require structured information about affected assets, types of weaknesses, and attack behaviors to effectively mitigate the risks from these vulnerabilities. To this end, we evaluate open-weight Large Language Models (LLMs) for generating Structured Threat Information Expression (STIX), a well-known structured format for representing threat information, for CAV-related CVEs. We construct a dataset called CAV-STIXGen that maps CAV vulnerability descriptions to STIX domain objects (SDO), STIX relationship objects (SRO), Common Weakness Enumeration (CWE), and MITRE ATT&CK techniques mappings. Using this dataset, we evaluated 11 open-weight LLMs (4B to 120B parameters) across various prompting strategies and temperatures. Single-model configurations achieve F1 scores of 0.94 for SDO, 0.63 for SRO, and 0.99 for CWE mapping, while complete MITRE ATT&CK mapping remains challenging. In a multi-agent setup, Gemma-4-31B and Codestral-22B achieve F1 scores of 0.91 for SDOs and 0.43 for SROs, respectively. Lastly, we analyze CWE and MITRE ATT&CK co-occurrences to identify recurring threat patterns in the CAV domain, demonstrating how AI-assisted vulnerability-to-STIX translation can automate threat intelligence and prioritize defense in transportation security.

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